Stephen Speicher

al-Qaida Says They Are Winning the War

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From Forbes.com

New al-Qaida Tape Says 12,000 Activated

By NADIA ABOU EL-MAGD 11.10.06, 11:13 AM ET

Al-Qaida in Iraq claimed in a new audio tape Friday to be winning the war faster than expected in Iraq, saying it had mobilized 12,000 fighters.

The group also said it welcomed the Republican electoral defeat that led to the departure of Defense Secretary Donald H. Rumsfeld.

Abu Ayyub al-Masri, also known as Abu Hamza al-Muhajir, also urged the U.S. to stay in Iraq so his group would have more opportunities to kill American troops.

"The al-Qaida army has 12,000 fighters in Iraq, and they have vowed to die for God's sake," a man introduced as al-Muhajir said in an audio tape made available on militant Web sites.

The tape could not be independently verified.

The speaker praised the outcome of Tuesday's elections in which Democrats swept to power in the House and the Senate, in large part due to U.S. voter dissatisfaction over the handling of the war in Iraq.

"The American people have put their feet on the right path by ... realizing their president's betrayal in supporting Israel," the terror leader said. "So they voted for something reasonable in the last elections."

Describing President Bush as "the most stupid president" in U.S. history, al-Masri reached out to the Muslim world and said his group was winning the war in Iraq faster than expected due to U.S. policies.

He urged Bush not to withdraw U.S. forces so al-Qaida could have more opportunities to fight U.S. soldiers. "We haven't had enough of your blood yet," he told the U.S.

The speaker also referred to Rumsfeld's resignation and called on "the lame duck (Bush) not to hurry up in escaping the same way the defense minister did."

"They are getting ready to leave, because they are no longer capable of staying," the al-Qaida leader said, referring to U.S. forces.

"Remain steadfast in the battlefield, you coward," he said, addressing Bush.

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There must be some mistake. That report wasn't put out by Al Qaida. It has from the strategy meeting that Howard Dean had with his DNC compatriots back in January.

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And they most certainly are. While President Bush has made mistake after mistake the various Islamic Totalitarian groups have clearly refined and improved their strategic focus and tactics. I remember how, shortly after American forces occupied Iraq, large numbers of these fanatics would make the deadly mistake of directly engaging our troops. Now they have wised up enough to commit themselves to a long-term guerilla style conflict. The similarities to the 20th century Chinese experience are apparent.

Sadly, the 12,000 (if the number is to be believed) mosqitos will likely succeed in completely sapping American's will to continue the fight, particularly when employing Just War Theory prevents us from defeating the enemy.

Sunzi

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From the refernced story:

Khamenei calls elections a victory for Iran

Fri Nov 10, 2006 9:03am ET29

By Jon Hemming

TEHRAN (Reuters) - Iran's Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei on Friday called U.S. President George W. Bush's defeat in congressional elections a victory for Iran.

Bush has accused Iran of trying to make a nuclear bomb, being a state sponsor of terrorism and stoking sectarian conflict in Iraq, all charges Tehran denies.

The same sort of denial of charges that we have heard from many Democrats the past few years, using that denial as a club to bash Bush. But, now that they are in power, they can make the denial of charges official.

"This issue (the elections) is not a purely domestic issue for America, but it is the defeat of Bush's hawkish policies in the world," Khamenei said in remarks reported by Iran's student news agency ISNA on Friday.

"Since Washington's hostile and hawkish policies have always been against the Iranian nation, this defeat is actually an obvious victory for the Iranian nation."

For once I agree with the wide-eyed cleric. As much as I have railed against Bush for how the war was being fought, at least he fought. Let's see now what the Democrats do. Not just right now, when they have the House and Senate but not the Presidency, but in 2008 when they can have it all. B)

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How sad is it that our own enemies are better able to identify a problem and a solution than many in our country, even some Objectivists. B) B)

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[...] The similarities to the 20th century Chinese experience are apparent. [...]

Which experience are you refering to?

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Which experience are you refering to?

Early on in their conflict against the Nationalists, the Chinese Communists followed directives handed down from the head of the Party Central Committee Li Lisan. Li in turn was also a follower of sorts, stepping to the tune of directives emanating from Moscow regarding the approved methods for carrying on revolutionary struggle. Marxist-Leninist dogma called for the Reds military strength to be concentrated against urban centers.

Chinese Communist forces coalesced into a rag-tag army the late 1920s. Early on they were victorious when repulsing Nationalist forces who were assaulting their mountain stronghold. Emboldened by victory and with some training under their belt, the Communists left the stronghold and engaged in a series of disastrous campaigns in 1930 in which (under orders from Li) they assaulted Nationalist forces who were defending cities.

The Chinese Communists held Changsha for a few days, but were driven out in bloody battle. Several unsuccessful assaults on Nanchang resulted in further devastating losses. In just a few battles the morale and strength of the Communist army had been shattered.

Following their defeats the Communists retreated and then began the "Long March".

Mao, who was the leader of the Chinese Communist army during this period, realized the folly of directly taking on a more numerous and better trained army in set-piece battles to hold objectives like cities. He penned "On Guerilla War" in 1937, detailing his views on how the Nationalists should be defeated. He explicitly advocated a lengthy guerilla-style conflict, designed to wear down and frustrate the Nationalist forces.

A relevant quote from Mao:

The enemy advances, we retreat;

The enemy camps, we harass;

The enemy tires, we attack;

The enemy retreats, we pursue.

I compare this to the experience of the Islamic Totalitarians, who (early on) stood by the hundreds to engage American forces in combat, only to be slaughtered. The April 2004 battle for Fallujah stands out as a good example. After numerous similar defeats the "insurgents" no longer dare face our military directly.

There is a difference in the fact that the Chinese Communists were outside the cities trying to take them and the "insurgents" were waiting inside the city for American forces to attack. However, there is a striking shift in both cases away from direct confrontation and toward guerilla-style warfare.

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